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誰會勝選?誰能凍蒜?:預知政治版圖,讓民調數字告訴你

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誰會勝選?誰能凍蒜?:預知政治版圖,讓民調數字告訴你
Product Code:
375248
Model:
9789863204527
Product by:
天下文化
Status:
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Usually ships within 4 to 6 weeks
Delivery Fee:
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EM - RM 12.72
FREE shipping within Malaysia for orders over RM 79.00
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Product Information

ISBN: 9789863204527

出版日期: 2014-05-12

作者: 洪永泰

裝訂: 軟精裝.單色印刷.237頁.

 

民意可用?先學會精準預測民心所在!
公民素養的第一本書,徹底瞭解台灣政治運作,掌握勝選先機必讀!

  在開票前就精準預知選舉輸贏!

  民調訊息千百種,個個都說自己穩定領先,孰真孰假?如何檢驗民意  調查的數據是對是錯?選舉操盤手究竟是如何研判選情,操控選局?

  鐵票部隊的失靈時刻,沉默的中間選民威力有多大?有人坐在家裡什麼也沒做,有人散盡千金一場空。難道勝負真在參選時就決定?

   這本《誰會勝選?誰會凍蒜?》以深入淺出的筆調及圖表告訴讀者,如何判讀民調預測結果?如何解讀統計數字的意涵及限制?如何理解政治版圖?進一步瞭解:省籍情結是否存在、民調如何操控,種種政治議題。

  做個理性的選民,在五光十色的選舉中,掌握門道,別再被媒體綁架了。

名人推薦

  這本書是對提升公民社會的一大貢獻。……洪教授以冷靜的頭腦、熱情的心、清晰的筆,為一般讀者細述民意調查在選舉中的角色。看懂了民調的來龍去脈,就能在五光十色的選舉中,掌握門道,把自己提升為懂得選情的現代公民。──高希均

  洪博士的文筆一向淺白易讀,善於用圖表數據佐證他的論點,引領讀者看懂數據的重點及其背後的意義,並歸納出通則。……讀者若對台灣的選舉行為與民意調查有興趣,閱讀本書相信應該會獲益不少。──政治大學政治學系名譽教授 陳義彥


 

作者簡介
洪永泰



作者簡介



洪永泰


  台灣省彰化縣人,1948年生。

  台灣大學政治學系畢業,美國伊利諾大學亞洲研究所碩士,密西根大學統計學碩士、生物統計學博士。

  歷任東海大學統計學系副教授兼主任,政治大學選舉研究中心主任,台灣大學政治學系教授暨台灣大學調查研究中心主任。研究領域包括抽樣調查、投票行為與選舉預測、統計指標、社會科學統計方法,是台灣首屈一指的選舉預測分析專家。

  著有《統計與生活》、《戶中選樣之研究》及期刊、專書論文數十篇,編有《2001年臺灣政治紀實》、《2004年臺灣政治紀實》等書。

誰會勝選?誰能凍蒜?:預知政治版圖,讓民調數字告訴你
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Shipping Information
ZoneWeightDelivery Fee (RM)
West MalaysiaFirst 2.00 kg5.30
West MalaysiaAdditional 1.00 kg2.12
East MalaysiaFirst 1.00 kg12.72
East MalaysiaAdditional 1.00 kg12.72

ZoneOrder Price Range (RM)Delivery Fee (RM)
West MalaysiaAbove 39.00FREE
East MalaysiaAbove 79.00FREE

 

 

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