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習近平面臨的挑戰

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習近平面臨的挑戰
Product Code:
89978
Model:
9781936895038
Product by:
外參出版社
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Product Information

ISBN: 9781936895038

出版日期: 2012-04-21

作者: 外參編輯部

裝訂: 平裝.單色印刷.368頁.

 

  如果胡錦濤最後任期內中國經濟發生硬著陸,房價泡沫破滅,或惡性通脹爆發,嚴重衝擊實體經濟和社會安定,責任在胡溫,這反而可能增加習近平的選擇空間

  如果胡錦濤成功地把燙手山芋交給了習近平,危機在習手上爆發,習的選擇就可能更困難,因為他要為危機爆發付代價

  習近平絕想不到,有朝一日他會成為紅色中國的皇帝,他更沒有想到的是,他還有可能成為紅色中國的末代皇帝。歷史作出了這樣的安排,對習近平本人是禍還是福,對中國乃至世界是禍還是福,現在衹有天知道。但有一點是肯定的,歷史上從來沒有如此多的人,希望他成功,希望他的所作所為,不僅給他自己,也給這個災難深重的國家,給這個動蕩不已的世界,帶來福祉而不是新的災難。

  之所以如此,是因為出現了一個習近平“一身繫天下安危”的局面。這不僅是習近平自己不曾料到的,也是任何人不曾料到的。觀察家們普遍認為,習近平是個走中間路線的、性情溫和的人。他能夠獲得這個位置,是因為共產黨相信他能夠繼續貫徹中共迄今的路線,相信他不會弄出亂子。

  但是,習近平所面對的中國,與江澤民和胡錦濤所面對的中國是不同的。前兩屆領導人所累積的社會矛盾不再允許習近平繼續玩“擊鼓傳花”的政治遊戲。

  胡錦濤交給習近平是一大堆負資產,包括一個內部分歧公開化的黨,一個在火山口上動盪不安的社會,一個對中國人權問題重新“指手劃腳”、堅決捍衛現有自由秩序的國際社會,一些不願順從中國的近鄰國家和幾個無解的領土難題。

  習近平一朝大權在手,如果既不能穩住大局,又不能超越專制思維,就阻止不了中國政治危機全面爆發。

  中國的未來是中國精英集體博弈的結果。習近平的命運也將是集體博弈的結果。中共當權者想徹底消滅對中共政權的挑戰者,不僅不可能,也不會有好結果。習近平和他的太子黨同夥有機會對中國的政治文明做出一個歷史性的貢獻,那就是提高中國政治博弈的道德底線。這可能是習近平最寶貴的歷史機會,也是所有希望中國好的人對他最大的期望。……

習近平面臨的挑戰
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Shipping Information
ZoneWeightDelivery Fee (RM)
West MalaysiaFirst 2.00 kg5.30
West MalaysiaAdditional 1.00 kg2.12
East MalaysiaFirst 1.00 kg12.72
East MalaysiaAdditional 1.00 kg12.72

ZoneOrder Price Range (RM)Delivery Fee (RM)
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East MalaysiaAbove 79.00FREE

 

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